IVR Polls (likely voters, 4/8):
Michael Skelly (D): 39%
John Culberson (R-inc): 57%
Undecided: 4%
(MoE: ±4.2%)
This isn’t too far off from an earlier poll which showed Culberson up by 52-33. This is a deep red district — with a PVI of R+15.6, it’s about on par with Nick Lampson’s TX-22. Skelly has turned some heads by raising a reported $750,000 in the first quarter of 2008, but he definitely still has an uphill climb here.
The pollster has some more details on the poll in the diaries.
I dont think that is too bad at all. Skelly must certainly have extremely low name recognition and all that money he can raise will help out later with tv ads and mailers so I’d expect that percentage to go up. And if he can break 45% or come close in any poll, that will already be at least somewhat of a symbolic win in this deep red district. But an actual win would be a lot better 🙂